---
title: "Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/peak-traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-105-1011
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-13T13:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 106127.29
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T07:21:06+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/peak-traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-105-1011
---

# Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)

Live · $106,127 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4 | 90% | 90¢ on Kalshi | 90¢ |
| Above 5 | 69% | 70¢ on Kalshi | 70¢ |
| Above 6 | 27% | 28¢ on Kalshi | 28¢ |
| Above 8 | 6% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| Above 10 | 5% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |
| Above 12 | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Above 14 | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/692855?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/peak-traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-105-1011.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.