---
title: "Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/philadelphia-phillies-vs-atlanta-braves-novig-518567e8
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-09-30T18:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-29T22:17:06+00:00
settled_at: 2026-09-30T21:38:05+00:00
total_volume_usd: 38063785.73
venues: ["Azuro", "Gemini", "Kalshi", "Novig", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T23:42:39+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/philadelphia-phillies-vs-atlanta-braves-novig-518567e8
---

# Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves

Settled · kickoff 2026-09-30 18:00 UTC · $38,063,786 traded · listed on Azuro, Gemini, Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## Result

**Philadelphia Phillies** won. Settled 2026-09-30.

## About

This is Game 2 of the NL Wild Card Series between the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves, played at Truist Park on September 30. Atlanta leads the series 1-0 after Austin Riley hit a three-run homer off closer Jhoan Duran in the eighth inning, rallying the Braves past the Phillies 5-3 in Game 1 on Tuesday. The Phillies need a win to stay alive. Tyler Mahle makes his playoff debut for Atlanta with a chance to send the Braves to the National League Division Series.

The moneyline market is remarkably tight, with Philadelphia edging out as the narrow favourite at 53.5% consensus. Across platforms, Polymarket, Novig, Kalshi, and Gemini all price the Phillies between 53.5% and 54.0%, while Atlanta sits between 46.0% and 48.0% — a margin of roughly 6–8 percentage points separating the two sides. Despite facing elimination and playing on the road, the Phillies hold a slim edge, with Cristopher Sánchez starting for Philadelphia against Mahle. The live score at snapshot time shows the game tied 1-1 through seven innings, with Atlanta scoring two runs in the seventh to take a 3-1 lead, though the markets still reflect a genuinely contested game. Azuro is the outlier, pricing the Phillies at 59.5%, a notable 6-point premium over the Novig and Polymarket US consensus near 53.5%.

The razor-thin favourite signal — Philadelphia at barely over even money — reflects the inherent uncertainty of a must-win elimination game on the road against a stronger regular-season team (94-68 vs. 88-74), and platforms are essentially in agreement that neither team commands a decisive edge.

_AI-written summary written 2026-09-30; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Spread: Atlanta Braves −1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Atlanta Braves −2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies −1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies −2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra innings? — 2 outcomes
- Run in first inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in first 5 innings — 2 outcomes
- Atlanta Braves wins first 5 innings — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Atlanta Braves −1.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 1st inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 2nd inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 3rd inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 4th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 5th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 6th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 7th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 8th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 9th inning — 2 outcomes
- Over 0.5 total runs in 6th inning — 2 outcomes
- Over 0.5 total runs in 3rd inning — 2 outcomes
- Over 0.5 total runs in 4th inning — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies −1.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Over 0.5 total runs in 8th inning — 2 outcomes
- Over 1.5 total runs in 8th inning — 2 outcomes
- Over 1.5 total runs in 3rd inning — 2 outcomes
- Over 1.5 total runs in 1st inning — 2 outcomes
- Over 1.5 total runs in 2nd inning — 2 outcomes
- Over 1.5 total runs in 7th inning — 2 outcomes
- Over 0.5 total runs in 9th inning — 2 outcomes
- Over 1.5 total runs in 9th inning — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Atlanta Braves wins 1st inning — 2 outcomes
- Philadelphia Phillies wins 1st inning — 2 outcomes
- Atlanta Braves wins 2nd inning — 2 outcomes
- Philadelphia Phillies wins 2nd inning — 2 outcomes
- Atlanta Braves wins 3rd inning — 2 outcomes
- Philadelphia Phillies wins 3rd inning — 2 outcomes
- … and 505 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/667841?via=md)
- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/651453?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/645989?via=md)
- [Novig](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/661710?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/650518?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/645217?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/philadelphia-phillies-vs-atlanta-braves-novig-518567e8).

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