---
title: "Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/philadelphia-phillies-vs-atlanta-braves-novig-f2579ff3
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-10-02T00:00:01+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-09T00:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-02T03:05:26+00:00
total_volume_usd: 31655832.95
venues: ["Azuro", "Gemini", "Kalshi", "Novig", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-08T05:49:29+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/philadelphia-phillies-vs-atlanta-braves-novig-f2579ff3
---

# Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves

Settled · kickoff 2026-10-02 00:00 UTC · $31,655,833 traded · listed on Azuro, Gemini, Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## Result

**Atlanta Braves** won. Settled 2026-10-02.

## About

This market covered Game 3 of the 2026 NL Wild Card Series — a winner-take-all contest between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves played at Truist Park on October 1. A Phillies win would have extended their season; an Atlanta Braves win would send them to the NLDS. The market is now closed, and the outcome is definitive.

The Braves used home runs from Michael Harris II, Matt Olson, and Ozzie Albies to power their way to a 6-2 victory over the Phillies in Game 3 of the Wild Card Series. The Atlanta Braves registered a consensus implied probability of 99.0–99.9% across Kalshi, Polymarket, Novig, Gemini, Azuro, and Polymarket US by the time the snapshot was taken — perfectly in line with that final result. The Phillies were priced at just 1.0% or less on virtually every platform, with no meaningful cross-platform spread on the moneyline.

Philadelphia surprisingly started Aaron Nola over the more urgent option of Zack Wheeler on short rest, and the payoff was a three-run homer from Michael Harris II that set the tone in the first inning. Ozzie Albies then stroked a two-run homer in the fourth to give the Braves a 5-0 lead, effectively ending any suspense. It will be the Atlanta Braves flying to Dodger Stadium for the NLDS, while the Phillies' season came to an end in the 6-2 loss. Every platform was in lockstep on the Braves as a prohibitive favourite, and the near-zero spread across Kalshi, Polymarket, Novig, Azuro, and Polymarket US reflects a market that had already fully priced in the result.

_AI-written summary written 2026-10-02; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Run in first inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 2nd inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 8th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 7th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 5th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 6th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 4th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 3rd inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 1st inning — 2 outcomes
- Philadelphia Phillies to have Over 3.5 runs — 2 outcomes
- Philadelphia Phillies wins first 5 innings — 2 outcomes
- Atlanta Braves to have Over 3.5 runs — 2 outcomes
- Atlanta Braves wins first 5 innings — 2 outcomes
- Philadelphia Phillies wins 1st inning — 2 outcomes
- Philadelphia Phillies wins 3rd inning — 2 outcomes
- Philadelphia Phillies wins 4th inning — 2 outcomes
- Philadelphia Phillies wins 2nd inning — 2 outcomes
- Philadelphia Phillies wins 5th inning — 2 outcomes
- Atlanta Braves wins 6th inning — 2 outcomes
- Atlanta Braves wins 7th inning — 2 outcomes
- Atlanta Braves wins 8th inning — 2 outcomes
- Atlanta Braves wins 5th inning — 2 outcomes
- Philadelphia Phillies wins 6th inning — 2 outcomes
- Atlanta Braves wins 1st inning — 2 outcomes
- Atlanta Braves wins 3rd inning — 2 outcomes
- Atlanta Braves wins 4th inning — 2 outcomes
- Philadelphia Phillies wins 7th inning — 2 outcomes
- Atlanta Braves wins 2nd inning — 2 outcomes
- Philadelphia Phillies wins 8th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in first 5 innings — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes
- Atlanta Braves wins 9th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 9th inning — 2 outcomes
- Philadelphia Phillies wins 9th inning — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- … and 529 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/673255?via=md)
- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/676160?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/672935?via=md)
- [Novig](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/673154?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/650515?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/673212?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/philadelphia-phillies-vs-atlanta-braves-novig-f2579ff3).

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