---
title: "Presidential Election Winner 2028"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/presidential-election-winner-2028
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-11-10T00:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 735306116.31
venues: ["Gemini", "Limitless", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:06:33+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/presidential-election-winner-2028
---

# Presidential Election Winner 2028

Live · $735,306,116 traded · listed on Gemini, Limitless, Polymarket

## About

Interesting — the snapshot data still lists JD Vance narrowly ahead of Jon Ossoff (20.1% vs 19.4%), but recent reporting shows the race has essentially flipped: Ossoff has overtaken Vance after the 2026 midterms.

This 2028 Presidential Election Winner market aggregates contracts across Polymarket, Limitless, and Gemini, with Polymarket dominating volume at over $735 million. The market lets traders bet on which individual will win the 2028 presidential race, with dozens of potential outcomes ranging from sitting officials to media figures. JD Vance currently holds a slim consensus edge at 20.1%, just ahead of Jon Ossoff at 19.4%, with Marco Rubio and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rounding out the top tier at 13.9% and 11.8% respectively. Gavin Newsom and Ron DeSantis trail further back in the mid-single digits, while dozens of other names—including sitting and former officials, media personalities, and even celebrities—register at fractions of a percent.

Cross-platform pricing shows some notable divergence: Marco Rubio's odds differ by over 9 points between Polymarket (9.4%) and Gemini (18.5%), reflecting Gemini's thinner, less liquid book. Pete Buttigieg and Andy Beshear also show meaningful spreads of roughly 4 and 2 points respectively across venues.

Importantly, the snapshot's near-tie between Vance and Ossoff appears to capture a market mid-flip. After a Democratic tsunami reclaimed the House and flipped the Senate on the back of historic upsets in Texas, Ohio, and Maine, traders dumped Vance contracts and crowned a new overall favorite. Jon Ossoff became the favorite to win in 2028 among bettors on Kalshi and Polymarket, with his odds spiking immediately after he secured a second term as a senator representing Georgia. Other venues tracking this event, including Kalshi and Polymarket's US-specific market, now show Ossoff clearly ahead of Vance by several points. Taken together, the data suggests this aggregated snapshot is lagging a rapid, midterm-driven realignment in which Ossoff has supplanted Vance as the market's single favorite.

_AI-written summary written 2026-11-06; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Gemini | Limitless | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff | 22% | 18¢ on Polymarket | 27¢ | — | 18¢ |
| JD Vance | 17% | 16¢ on Gemini | 16¢ | 21¢ | 20¢ |
| Marco Rubio | 12% | 9.4¢ on Polymarket | 16¢ | 9.5¢ | 9.4¢ |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 12% | 12¢ on Gemini | 12¢ | 12¢ | 12¢ |
| Gavin Newsom | 8% | 7¢ on Polymarket | 13¢ | 7.2¢ | 7¢ |
| Ron DeSantis | 5% | 5.4¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 5.4¢ |
| Kamala Harris | 5% | 3.6¢ on Polymarket | 7¢ | 3.8¢ | 3.6¢ |
| Pete Buttigieg | 4% | 2.5¢ on Polymarket | 7¢ | — | 2.5¢ |
| Josh Shapiro | 3% | 2¢ on Limitless | 5¢ | 2¢ | 2.6¢ |
| Andy Beshear | 2% | 1.4¢ on Polymarket | 4¢ | — | 1.4¢ |
| James Talarico | 2% | 1.8¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 1.8¢ |
| Tucker Carlson | 1% | 1.5¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 1.5¢ |
| Donald Trump | 1% | 1.3¢ on Limitless | 3¢ | 1.3¢ | 1.4¢ |
| Thomas Massie | 1% | 1.2¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 1.2¢ |
| Raphael Warnock | 1% | 1.4¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 1.4¢ |
| Wes Moore | 1% | 1.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 1.1¢ |
| Mark Kelly | 1% | 1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 1¢ |
| Ro Khanna | 0.8% | 0.8¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.8¢ |
| Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson | 0.7% | 0.7¢ on Polymarket | 76¢ | — | 0.7¢ |
| Ivanka Trump | 0.5% | 0.6¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.6¢ |
| Glenn Youngkin | 0.4% | 0.5¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.5¢ |
| JB Pritzker | 0.4% | 0.5¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.5¢ |
| Rahm Emanuel | 0.4% | 0.5¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.5¢ |
| Gretchen Whitmer | 0.4% | 0.4¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.4¢ |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 0.4% | 0.4¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.4¢ |
| Nikki Haley | 0.4% | 0.4¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.4¢ |
| Ted Cruz | 0.4% | 0.4¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.4¢ |
| Michelle Obama | 0.3% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.3¢ |
| Tom Cotton | 0.3% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.3¢ |
| Elon Musk | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.2¢ |
| Jamie Dimon | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.2¢ |
| Stephen Smith | — | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.2¢ |
| Tulsi Gabbard | — | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.2¢ |
| Tim Walz | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.1¢ |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.1¢ |
| Greg Abbott | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.1¢ |
| LeBron James | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.1¢ |
| Kim Kardashian | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.1¢ |
| Zohran Mamdani | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.1¢ |
| Eric Trump | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.1¢ |
| Pete Hegseth | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.1¢ |
| Jalen Brunson | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.1¢ |
| Abigail Spanberger | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.1¢ |
| Hakeem Jeffries | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.1¢ |
| Alex Padilla | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.1¢ |
| Adam Schiff | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.1¢ |
| Elissa Slotkin | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.1¢ |
| Josh Stein | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.1¢ |
| Candace Owens | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.1¢ |
| Mike Johnson | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.1¢ |

_6 more outcomes on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/299924?via=md)
- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/19139?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/4858?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/presidential-election-winner-2028).

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