---
title: "Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?  — Before Sep 23, 2029"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-next-election-before-sep-23-2029
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-09-23T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 585.13
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:39:45+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-next-election-before-sep-23-2029
---

# Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?  — Before Sep 23, 2029

Live · $585 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).

If no government forms by Sep 23, 2029, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pauline Hanson | 17% | 20¢ on Kalshi | 20¢ |
| Anthony Albanese | — | — | — |
| Angus Taylor | — | — | — |
| Jim Chalmers | — | — | — |
| Richard Marles | — | — | — |
| Andrew Hastie | — | — | — |
| Jane Hume | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292536?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-next-election-before-sep-23-2029.

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