---
title: "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/pro-football-2026-mvp-winner
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-03-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1187821.25
venues: ["Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "American Football"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:37:55+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/pro-football-2026-mvp-winner
---

# Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Live · $1,187,821 traded · listed on Polymarket, Polymarket US

## About

This market asks which player will win the NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 season. Each outcome is a named player. Polymarket's rules say that if multiple winners are announced, the market resolves to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is declared by February 28, 2027, it resolves to "Other." Polymarket carries the market's roughly $1.15 million in volume, while Polymarket US lists it with no recorded volume.

Josh Allen is the favourite at a 27.3% consensus, well ahead of Brock Purdy at 16.4%. That roughly 11-point lead signals a clear frontrunner, but the field remains wide open. Behind them, Lamar Jackson sits at 11.5%, Patrick Mahomes at 10.5% and Joe Burrow at 8.2%. Trevor Lawrence follows at 6.3%. Dozens of other players trade near or below 1.0%, and many Polymarket US quotes are one-sided books excluded from consensus.

The two venues agree closely on Purdy, at 16.3% on Polymarket and 16.5% on Polymarket US. The widest gap is on Dak Prescott, at 1.6% on Polymarket versus 7.5% on Polymarket US, a 5.9-point spread. Allen also diverges, at 25.0% on Polymarket against 29.5% on Polymarket US. Burrow shows a 2.7-point gap, at 6.8% on Polymarket versus 9.5% on Polymarket US. Overall, the platforms agree on the order at the top, but Polymarket US's thinner book prices several contenders, notably Prescott, noticeably higher than Polymarket.

_AI-written summary written 2026-10-03; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 23% | 22¢ on Polymarket | 22¢ | 24¢ |
| Brock Purdy | 20% | 20¢ on Polymarket US | 21¢ | 20¢ |
| Patrick Mahomes | 11% | 11¢ on Polymarket | 11¢ | 12¢ |
| Trevor Lawrence | 8% | 7.8¢ on Polymarket | 7.8¢ | 8¢ |
| Joe Burrow | 6% | 6.7¢ on Polymarket | 6.7¢ | 7¢ |
| Lamar Jackson | 5% | 5¢ on Polymarket US | 6¢ | 5¢ |
| Dak Prescott | 4% | 4.6¢ on Polymarket | 4.6¢ | 5¢ |
| Caleb Williams | 3% | 3¢ on Polymarket US | 4.5¢ | 3¢ |
| Bryce Young | 3% | 3¢ on Polymarket US | — | 3¢ |
| CeeDee Lamb | 3% | 3¢ on Polymarket US | — | 3¢ |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 2% | 3¢ on Polymarket US | — | 3¢ |
| Matthew Stafford | 2% | 2¢ on Polymarket US | 2.1¢ | 2¢ |
| Jaxson Smith-Njigba | 2% | 2¢ on Polymarket | 2¢ | — |
| Jared Goff | 2% | 2¢ on Polymarket US | 2.1¢ | 2¢ |
| Jordan Love | 2% | 1¢ on Polymarket US | 1.7¢ | 1¢ |
| Kirk Cousins | 2% | 2¢ on Polymarket US | — | 2¢ |
| Tyler Shough | 2% | 2¢ on Polymarket US | — | 2¢ |
| Bijan Robinson | 1% | 1.4¢ on Polymarket | 1.4¢ | 2¢ |
| Jalen Hurts | 1% | 1¢ on Polymarket US | 1.8¢ | 1¢ |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 1% | 1¢ on Polymarket US | 1.8¢ | 1¢ |
| Bo Nix | 1% | 1¢ on Polymarket US | 1.5¢ | 1¢ |
| Drake Maye | 1% | 0.6¢ on Polymarket | 0.6¢ | 2¢ |
| Justin Herbert | 0.6% | 0.7¢ on Polymarket | 0.7¢ | 1¢ |
| Derrick Henry | 0.4% | 0.6¢ on Polymarket | 0.6¢ | — |
| Baker Mayfield | 0.4% | 0.5¢ on Polymarket | 0.5¢ | 1¢ |
| Jaxson Dart | 0.4% | 0.4¢ on Polymarket | 0.4¢ | 1¢ |
| Saquon Barkley | 0.3% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | 0.3¢ | 1¢ |
| Sam Darnold | 0.3% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | 0.3¢ | 1¢ |
| Puka Nacua | 0.3% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | 0.3¢ | 1¢ |
| Player J | 0.3% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | 0.3¢ | — |
| Christian McCaffrey | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | 0.2¢ | 1¢ |
| De'Von Achane | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | 0.2¢ | — |
| Justin Jefferson | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | 0.2¢ | 1¢ |
| Myles Garrett | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | 0.2¢ | 1¢ |
| CJ Stroud | — | 1¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ |
| Jayden Daniels | — | 2¢ on Polymarket US | — | 2¢ |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | — | 1¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ |
| Micah Parsons | — | 1¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ |
| Cam Ward | — | 1¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ |
| Deshaun Watson | — | 1¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ |
| Fernando Mendoza | — | 1¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ |
| Geno Smith | — | 1¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ |
| Kyler Murray | — | 1¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ |
| T.J. Watt | — | 1¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ |
| Aaron Rodgers | — | 1¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ |
| Ashton Jeanty | — | 1¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ |
| Danielle Hunter | — | 1¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ |
| Daniel Jones | — | 1¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ |
| Ja'Marr Chase | — | 1¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ |
| James Cook | — | 1¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ |

_4 more outcomes on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5299?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/299689?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/pro-football-2026-mvp-winner.

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