---
title: "Quebec general election: 2nd place — On Oct 5, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/quebec-general-election-2nd-place-on-oct-5-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-10-05T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 58132.09
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:44:10+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/quebec-general-election-2nd-place-on-oct-5-2026
---

# Quebec general election: 2nd place — On Oct 5, 2026

Live · $58,132 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Ranking is determined by the specified counting method:
For plurality voting: rank is based on province-wide certified valid-vote count or percentage, not seats won

In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities), rounded down. If no listed party is tied for second and an unlisted party finishes second, every named market resolves NO. Parties that withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. Resolution uses the final certified result from Élections Québec, not the preliminary election-night count. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve NO.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quebec Liberal Party | 97% | 97¢ on Kalshi | 97¢ |
| Coalition avenir Québec (CAQ) | — | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Parti Québécois | — | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Conservative Party of Québec | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Québec solidaire | — | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/413551?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/quebec-general-election-2nd-place-on-oct-5-2026.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.