---
title: "Quebec general election: 3rd place — On Oct 5, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/quebec-general-election-3rd-place-on-oct-5-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-10-05T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 56263.63
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:12:48+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/quebec-general-election-3rd-place-on-oct-5-2026
---

# Quebec general election: 3rd place — On Oct 5, 2026

Live · $56,264 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Ranking is determined by the specified counting method:
For plurality voting: rank is based on province-wide certified valid-vote count or percentage, not seats won

In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities), rounded down. If no listed party is tied for third and an unlisted party finishes third, every named market resolves NO. Parties that withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. Resolution uses the final certified result from Élections Québec, not the preliminary election-night count. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve NO.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party of Québec | 95% | 95¢ on Kalshi | 95¢ |
| Quebec Liberal Party | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Coalition avenir Québec (CAQ) | — | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Parti Québécois | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Québec solidaire | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/413550?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/quebec-general-election-3rd-place-on-oct-5-2026.

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