---
title: "Quebec general election: 5th place — On Oct 5, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/quebec-general-election-5th-place-on-oct-5-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-10-05T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 17244.79
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:32:14+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/quebec-general-election-5th-place-on-oct-5-2026
---

# Quebec general election: 5th place — On Oct 5, 2026

Live · $17,245 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Ranking is determined by the specified counting method:
For plurality voting: rank is based on province-wide certified valid-vote count or percentage, not seats won

In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities), rounded down. If no listed party is tied for fifth and an unlisted party finishes fifth, every named market resolves NO. Parties that withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. Resolution uses the final certified result from Élections Québec, not the preliminary election-night count.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Québec solidaire | 98% | 98¢ on Kalshi | 98¢ |
| Coalition avenir Québec (CAQ) | 3% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |
| Conservative Party of Québec | — | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Quebec Liberal Party | — | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Parti Québécois | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/655727?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/quebec-general-election-5th-place-on-oct-5-2026.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.