---
title: "Quebec General Election: CAQ # Seats?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/quebec-general-election-caq-seats
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-10-05T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 56847.8
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:41:05+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/quebec-general-election-caq-seats
---

# Quebec General Election: CAQ # Seats?

Live · $56,848 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## About

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Thresholds

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 or more | — | 93¢ on Kalshi | 93¢ |
| 4 or more | — | 33¢ on Kalshi | 33¢ |
| 8 or more | — | 19¢ on Kalshi | 19¢ |
| 12 or more | — | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |
| 20 or more | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |
| 24 or more | — | 50¢ on Kalshi | 50¢ |
| 27 or more | — | 25¢ on Kalshi | 25¢ |
| 31 or more | — | 15¢ on Kalshi | 15¢ |
| 34 or more | — | 22¢ on Kalshi | 22¢ |
| 37 or more | — | 25¢ on Kalshi | 25¢ |
| 40 or more | — | 25¢ on Kalshi | 25¢ |
| 45 or more | — | 25¢ on Kalshi | 25¢ |
| 52 or more | — | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |

## Other markets

- Ranges — 7 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/413552?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/362856?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/quebec-general-election-caq-seats.

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