---
title: "Quebec General Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/quebec-general-election-of-seats-margin-of-victory
status: ended
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-05T23:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 6559.52
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:23:05+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/quebec-general-election-of-seats-margin-of-victory
---

# Quebec General Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?

Ended · $6,560 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled by the first and second place parties in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of the next Quebec general election.

The first and second place parties will be the parties that respectively control the first and second most seats as a result of the specified election.

If any non-listed party wins the most seats as a result of this election, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”

If the first and second place parties control the same number of seats, or if the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the relevant parties, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Quebec government, specifically Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ <10 | — | — | — |
| PQ 10-19 | 49% | 89¢ on Polymarket | 89¢ |
| PQ 20-29 | 33% | 54¢ on Polymarket | 54¢ |
| PQ 30-39 | — | — | — |
| PQ 40+ | — | — | — |
| Another Party Wins | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/597460?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/quebec-general-election-of-seats-margin-of-victory.

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