---
title: "Red wave in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/red-wave-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-02-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 48483.27
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:56:33+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/red-wave-in-2026
---

# Red wave in 2026?

Live · $48,483 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If ALL of the following occur for the 2026 midterms: U.S. House: Republicans win 220 or more seats, U.S. Senate: Republicans hold 55 or more seats, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: U.S. House (SEATSCONGRESS), U.S. Senate (SEATSCONGRESS).

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 94% | 95¢ on Kalshi | 95¢ |
| Yes | 7% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/293198?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/red-wave-in-2026.

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