---
title: "Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/rocket-labs-neutron-rocket-launch-by-december-31
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 11801.95
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:07:06+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/rocket-labs-neutron-rocket-launch-by-december-31
---

# Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

Live · $11,802 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

If Rocket Lab’s Neutron rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Rocket Lab (https://www.youtube.com/@RocketLabCorp), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., explosion or failed ascent) after the initial liftoff will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change or rebranding of the Neutron vehicle will have no bearing on the market’s resolution.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 94% | 95¢ on Polymarket | 95¢ |
| Yes | 6% | 7¢ on Polymarket | 7¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/7328?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/rocket-labs-neutron-rocket-launch-by-december-31.

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