---
title: "Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/russia-strikes-another-vessel-in-black-sea-by-polymarket-0d94e7be
status: ended
trading_closes_at: 2026-08-28T20:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 9358.24
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-10T15:18:01+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/russia-strikes-another-vessel-in-black-sea-by-polymarket-0d94e7be
---

# Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?

Ended · $9,358 traded · listed on Polymarket

## Result

Delisted by every venue without a result — this event will not resolve.

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a strike against any vessel in the Black Sea attributed to Russia between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Eastern European Time (EET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) which impact a vessel anywhere in the Black Sea, regardless of flag, ownership, or damage level. 

Strikes attributed to Russia by media or third parties will qualify, regardless of whether Russia publicly denies involvement or if definitive attribution is not confirmed. 

Ship seizures, boarding, or the use of small arms fire will not qualify. An intercepted missile or drone that does not impact the vessel will not qualify, even if debris lands on or near the vessel.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying incident will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant incident, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the incident based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (EET) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the incident. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the incident, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## August 21

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | — | 100¢ |
| No | — | — | 2.9¢ |

## Other markets

- August 28 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292242?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/russia-strikes-another-vessel-in-black-sea-by-polymarket-0d94e7be.

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