---
title: "Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/russia-x-ukraine-peace-parlay
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 634766.17
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T15:27:41+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/russia-x-ukraine-peace-parlay
---

# Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Live · $634,766 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97% | 98¢ on Polymarket | 98¢ |
| Yes | 3% | 3.7¢ on Polymarket | 3.7¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5164?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/russia-x-ukraine-peace-parlay.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.