---
title: "San Diego vs Milwaukee"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/san-diego-vs-milwaukee-kalshi-a65bb4c7
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-10-04T00:30:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-01T15:39:01+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-04T04:09:54+00:00
total_volume_usd: 24360950.47
venues: ["Azuro", "Gemini", "Kalshi", "Novig", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-11T17:21:27+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/san-diego-vs-milwaukee-kalshi-a65bb4c7
---

# San Diego vs Milwaukee

Settled · kickoff 2026-10-04 00:30 UTC · $24,360,950 traded · listed on Azuro, Gemini, Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## Result

**Milwaukee Brewers** won. Settled 2026-10-04.

## About

This listing covers Game 1 of the National League Division Series between the San Diego Padres and the Milwaukee Brewers. Polymarket and Kalshi place the game on October 3 at 8:30 PM ET. The two outcomes are straightforward: one resolves to the Brewers if Milwaukee wins, and the other to the Padres if San Diego wins. Polymarket's rules say a postponed game keeps the market open, and a cancellation with no make-up game resolves 50-50. Kalshi's rules allow up to two days for a delayed game before it resolves to a fair price. Total volume across venues stands at about $2.34 million, led by Kalshi and Novig.

Milwaukee is the clear favourite, with a consensus implied probability of 64.5% against 35.5% for San Diego. That gap of roughly 29 points signals the market sees the Brewers as nearly a two-to-one favourite to take the opener. Venue midpoints for Milwaukee are tightly grouped: Novig 64.8%, Polymarket 64.5%, Gemini 64.5%, Kalshi 64.5% and Polymarket US 64.3%. Padres pricing mirrors this, from 35.3% on Novig to 35.8% on Polymarket US. Azuro is excluded from consensus due to no liquidity, and Gemini and Polymarket US show minimal or zero activity.

The cross-platform spread is just 0.5 points on either outcome, so the venues broadly agree on Milwaukee as the favourite.

_AI-written summary written 2026-10-03; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers −1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra innings? — 2 outcomes
- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Manny Machado: 1+ Home Runs — 2 outcomes
- Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+ Hits — 2 outcomes
- Jackson Chourio: 1+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Brice Turang: 1+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- William Contreras: 1+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Jackson Chourio: 2+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Brice Turang: 2+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- William Contreras: 2+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Jackson Chourio: 3+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- William Contreras: 3+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Brice Turang: 3+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Jackson Chourio: 4+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- William Contreras: 4+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Brice Turang: 4+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Jackson Chourio: 5+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- William Contreras: 5+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Brice Turang: 5+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Jackson Chourio: 2+ Total Bases — 2 outcomes
- William Contreras: 1+ Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- First 3 Innings Moneyline — 3 outcomes
- Jacob Misiorowski: 5+ Strikeouts — 2 outcomes
- Spread: San Diego Padres −2.5 (F5) — 1 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 7 Innings Moneyline — 3 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Milwaukee Brewers to have Over 1.5 runs — 2 outcomes
- San Diego Padres to have Over 0.5 runs — 2 outcomes
- Milwaukee Brewers to have Over 2.5 runs — 2 outcomes
- San Diego Padres to have Over 1.5 runs — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 2nd inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 9th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 5th inning — 2 outcomes
- … and 517 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/703855?via=md)
- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/679758?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/676441?via=md)
- [Novig](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/678649?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/679024?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/676721?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/san-diego-vs-milwaukee-kalshi-a65bb4c7.

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