---
title: "Satoshi's identity be proven by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/satoshis-identity-be-proven-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 2001184.63
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "Crypto", "Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T06:00:43+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/satoshis-identity-be-proven-by
---

# Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

Live · $2,001,185 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.

The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | 2.6¢ on Polymarket | 2.6¢ |
| No | 98% | 98¢ on Polymarket | 98¢ |

## Other markets

- April 30 — 2 outcomes
- June 30 — 2 outcomes
- July 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/4995?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/satoshis-identity-be-proven-by.

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