---
title: "Saudi crude oil production in September — September 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/saudi-crude-oil-production-in-september-september-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-13T11:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1870.51
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T07:20:53+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/saudi-crude-oil-production-in-september-september-2026
---

# Saudi crude oil production in September — September 2026

Live · $1,871 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The outcome will be determined using Saudi Arabia’s production figure in the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report covering the September 2026 reference period. Specifically, the market will use the Saudi production figure identified in the note accompanying the table titled “OPEC crude oil production based on direct communication.”

This market will not use OPEC’s secondary-sources estimate or Saudi Arabia’s “supply to the market” figure.
OPEC reports the figure in thousands of barrels per day. The reported value will be divided by 1,000 to convert it to millions of barrels per day. No additional rounding will be applied.

The first value published by OPEC will be used. Later revisions will not affect the outcome.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.5 million bpd | — | — | — |
| Above 4.0 million bpd | 95% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Above 4.5 million bpd | — | — | — |
| Above 5.0 million bpd | — | — | — |
| Above 5.5 million bpd | 81% | 85¢ on Kalshi | 85¢ |
| Above 6.0 million bpd | — | — | — |
| Above 6.5 million bpd | 61% | 65¢ on Kalshi | 65¢ |
| Above 7.0 million bpd | 51% | 55¢ on Kalshi | 55¢ |
| Above 7.5 million bpd | — | — | — |
| Above 8.0 million bpd | 31% | 35¢ on Kalshi | 35¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/513303?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/saudi-crude-oil-production-in-september-september-2026.

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