---
title: "Saudi troops enter Sanaa by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/saudi-troops-enter-sanaa-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 9188.7
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:06:21+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/saudi-troops-enter-sanaa-by
---

# Saudi troops enter Sanaa by...?

Live · $9,189 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi troops enter any part of Sanaa, Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Saudi troops" refers to active military personnel officially affiliated with Saudi Arabia. Only members of the regular armed forces of Saudi Arabia will qualify. Foreign fighters, private military contractors, mercenaries, or any other personnel recruited, paid, trained, equipped or directed by Saudi Arabia who are not members of the Saudi Arabian armed forces will not qualify, regardless of whether they operate under Saudi command or on Saudi Arabia’s behalf. Members of the armed forces of any other state, including those operating as part of a Saudi-led coalition, will not qualify.

"Sanaa" refers to Amanat Al Asimah (the Capital Secretariat), Yemen, comprising the following districts: Old City, Al Wahdah, As Sabain, Assafi’yah, At Tahrir, Ath’thaorah, Az’zal, Bani Al Harith, Ma’ain, and Shu’aub. Sanaa Governorate is excluded and entry into Sanaa Governorate alone will not qualify.

"Enter" means that the Saudi troops, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Sanaa, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below. Bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim of Saudi troop entry will not qualify without actual entry being established.

The entrance of Saudi emissaries for the purpose of negotiating an agreement or other diplomatic or commercial endeavors will not alone qualify.

If the occurrence or timing of a potentially qualifying entry cannot be determined on the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market may remain open for three calendar days (ET) after the specified date. If Saudi troop entry into the specified territory is not established by this market's resolution sources by the end of the third calendar day, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia, including the Saudi Ministry of Defense; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## October 31

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | 2¢ on Polymarket | 2¢ |
| No | 98% | 99¢ on Polymarket | 99¢ |

## Other markets

- December 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/695535?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/saudi-troops-enter-sanaa-by.

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