---
title: "SBF released from custody in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/sbf-released-from-custody-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 465076.87
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "Crypto"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T07:03:03+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/sbf-released-from-custody-in-2026
---

# SBF released from custody in 2026?

Live · $465,077 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Sam Bankman-Fried is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Sam Bankman-Fried is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Sam Bankman-Fried to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98% | 99¢ on Polymarket | 99¢ |
| Yes | 2% | 1.6¢ on Polymarket | 1.6¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5190?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/sbf-released-from-custody-in-2026.

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