---
title: "SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/scotus-invalidates-ar-15-bans
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-08-02T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1897.4
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T13:24:40+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/scotus-invalidates-ar-15-bans
---

# SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans?

Live · $1,897 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court, in either or both of Grant v. Higgins and Viramontes v. Cook County, issues a ruling or order with the effect of invalidating state or local bans on the ownership or possession of AR-15 or similar semiautomatic rifles, by August 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If both of the referenced cases are permanently removed from the court's docket without the issuance of such a ruling or order, this market will immediately resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve based on the Supreme Court’s decision in these cases. Other related cases or legislation will not affect resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 84% | 87¢ on Polymarket | 87¢ |
| No | 16% | 19¢ on Polymarket | 19¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/479284?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/scotus-invalidates-ar-15-bans).

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