---
title: "Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/screwworm-national-emergency-declared-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 9557.22
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:07:16+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/screwworm-national-emergency-declared-by
---

# Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Live · $9,557 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.

Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm. 

The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## October 31

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 5.9¢ on Polymarket | 5.9¢ |
| No | 95% | 95¢ on Polymarket | 95¢ |

## Other markets

- June 30 — 2 outcomes
- August 30 — 2 outcomes
- December 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/7521?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/screwworm-national-emergency-declared-by.

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