---
title: "Seattle vs Tampa Bay"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/seattle-vs-tampa-bay-kalshi-65160b4c
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-12T17:40:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-19T17:40:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-12T20:04:07+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4998438.79
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T15:42:37+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/seattle-vs-tampa-bay-kalshi-65160b4c
---

# Seattle vs Tampa Bay

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-12 17:40 UTC · $4,998,439 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Seattle Mariners** won. Settled 2026-07-12.

## About

This market covers the MLB regular-season game between the Seattle Mariners and the Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET. On Polymarket and Kalshi, the market resolves to the winning team, with provisions for postponements; a cancellation or tie resolves 50-50 on Polymarket. Azuro also lists a draw outcome, reflecting a three-way structure. The event is listed on Polymarket, Kalshi, and Azuro, with Kalshi carrying the bulk of the volume at roughly $5,040.

Tampa Bay is the favourite at a 59.0% consensus, priced highest on Kalshi (59.0%), followed by Polymarket (56.5%) and Azuro (50.2%). Seattle sits at a 43.5% consensus, with Azuro pricing the Mariners highest at 49.0%, Polymarket at 43.5%, and Kalshi cheapest at 42.0%. Azuro additionally prices a draw at 14.2%, which explains why its two-team probabilities sum lower than on the binary markets.

The cross-platform spread on Tampa Bay is 2.5 points between Kalshi and Polymarket (ignoring Azuro's three-way pricing), while Seattle's spread is 1.5 points. The takeaway: all three venues lean toward Tampa Bay, but Kalshi expresses the strongest conviction while Azuro's three-way market implies the tightest matchup.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-11; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 16 outcomes
- Home Runs — 8 outcomes
- Hits — 14 outcomes
- Total Bases — 19 outcomes
- Outs Recorded — 2 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- RBIs — 9 outcomes
- First 5 Spread — 4 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 20 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 4 outcomes
- Cal Raleigh: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -5.5 — 2 outcomes
- NRFI — 2 outcomes
- Cal Raleigh: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Cedric Mullins: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Cedric Mullins: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 34 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/22378?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/16578?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/20288?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/seattle-vs-tampa-bay-kalshi-65160b4c.

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