---
title: "Seattle vs Tampa Bay"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/seattle-vs-tampa-bay-kalshi-b5385952
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-11T20:10:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-18T20:10:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-11T23:04:59+00:00
total_volume_usd: 3151822.55
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T20:32:49+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/seattle-vs-tampa-bay-kalshi-b5385952
---

# Seattle vs Tampa Bay

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-11 20:10 UTC · $3,151,823 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Tampa Bay Rays** won. Settled 2026-07-11.

## About

This Kalshi market covers the Saturday, July 11 game between the Seattle Mariners and Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field, part of a three-game weekend series. A "Yes" resolves if Seattle wins; otherwise "No" (a Rays win) prevails. Azuro's three-way market adds a draw outcome, which is standard for its soccer-style templates but effectively vestigial for MLB since regulation-tie games are decided in extra innings.

Kalshi has Tampa Bay at 53.0% and Seattle at 48.0% (the small overround reflects the vig on paired binaries). Azuro's implied prices strip out very similarly once the 12.3% draw leg is removed: Rays 51.8%, Mariners 49.5%. Across both venues, the Rays sit as narrow favourites by roughly five points, with essentially zero cross-platform spread on the headline pick — an unusually tight consensus for a low-volume book pairing ($1,407 total).

The lean toward Tampa Bay tracks the underlying matchup. The Rays sit atop the AL East at 54-37 with a 33-14 home record at Tropicana Field, and Nick Martinez (7-2, 2.61 ERA) is lined up to start. Seattle arrives at .500 on a three-game losing streak after being shut out twice in Miami, with Julio Rodríguez on the injured list. Given the home-field edge, rotation gap and Seattle's depleted lineup, the modest Rays favouritism looks well-earned rather than mispriced. Kalshi and Azuro are effectively in agreement: Tampa Bay is the slight favourite, and there is no arbitrage worth chasing between the two books.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-10; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 16 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 20 outcomes
- Home Runs — 9 outcomes
- Hits — 13 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- First 5 Spread — 4 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Outs Recorded — 2 outcomes
- Total Bases — 17 outcomes
- RBIs — 10 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Cal Raleigh: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 17 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -5.5 — 2 outcomes
- NRFI — 2 outcomes
- Cal Raleigh: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Cole Young: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Cole Young: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Dominic Canzone: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Dominic Canzone: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- J.P. Crawford: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- J.P. Crawford: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Jonathan Aranda: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Jonathan Aranda: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes
- … and 22 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/18392?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/13589?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/20050?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/seattle-vs-tampa-bay-kalshi-b5385952.

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