---
title: "Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/sebastian-baez-vs-valentin-vacherot
status: live
kickoff_at: 2026-10-10T04:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-17T02:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 5740.89
venues: ["Kalshi", "Limitless", "Novig", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "Tennis"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T07:04:24+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/sebastian-baez-vs-valentin-vacherot
---

# Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot

Live · kickoff 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC · $5,741 traded · listed on Kalshi, Limitless, Novig, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## About

This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Valentin Vacherot in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Valentin Vacherot.

This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Sebastian Baez.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Moneyline

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentin Vacherot | 73% | 72¢ on Limitless | 72¢ | 73¢ | 73¢ | 73¢ |
| Sebastian Baez | 28% | 28¢ on Polymarket | 28¢ | 28¢ | 28¢ | 28¢ |

## Other markets

- Total O/U 20.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Games — 3 outcomes
- Completed Match — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Total Sets: O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 21.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 23.5 — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Set Handicap +/-1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Valentin Vacherot −4.5 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/770661?via=md)
- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/761346?via=md)
- [Novig](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/761118?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/761047?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/761148?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/sebastian-baez-vs-valentin-vacherot.

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