---
title: "Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q3 — gross merchandise volume in Q3 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/shopify-gross-merchandise-volume-in-q3-gross-merchandise-volume-in-q3-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-03-05T05:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4573.96
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T07:19:41+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/shopify-gross-merchandise-volume-in-q3-gross-merchandise-volume-in-q3-2026
---

# Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q3 — gross merchandise volume in Q3 2026

Live · $4,574 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above $110 billion | 96% | 98¢ on Kalshi | 98¢ |
| Above $113 billion | 80% | 83¢ on Kalshi | 83¢ |
| Above $116 billion | 75% | 79¢ on Kalshi | 79¢ |
| Above $119 billion | 50% | 54¢ on Kalshi | 54¢ |
| Above $122 billion | 28% | 32¢ on Kalshi | 32¢ |
| Above $125 billion | 14% | 18¢ on Kalshi | 18¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/134896?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/shopify-gross-merchandise-volume-in-q3-gross-merchandise-volume-in-q3-2026.

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