---
title: "Simona Waltert vs Paula Badosa"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/simona-waltert-vs-paula-badosa
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-11T12:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-18T12:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-11T18:07:19+00:00
total_volume_usd: 278043.79
venues: ["Azuro", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Tennis"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T07:06:30+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/simona-waltert-vs-paula-badosa
---

# Simona Waltert vs Paula Badosa

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-11 12:00 UTC · $278,044 traded · listed on Azuro, Polymarket

## Result

**Paula Badosa** won. Settled 2026-07-11.

## About

This market covers the WTA Bastad first-round match between Simona Waltert and Paula Badosa, scheduled for July 11, 2026. On Polymarket, the match resolves to whichever player advances; retirements and disqualifications count for the player who moves on, while walkovers and cancellations resolve 50-50. The event is listed on both Polymarket and Azuro, with meaningful volume ($1,779) concentrated on Polymarket.

Badosa is the clear favourite to advance. The head-to-head moneyline sits at 69.5% for Badosa on Polymarket versus 74.1% on Azuro, with Waltert priced correspondingly around 30.5% on Polymarket and 32.2% on Azuro. That gives Badosa an implied edge of roughly 40 points over her opponent, consistent with her status as the higher-ranked player. Totals markets lean slightly toward the under, with Under 2.5 sets at 61.5% on Polymarket and 67.1% on Azuro.

Cross-platform pricing is broadly aligned, though Azuro consistently prices Badosa a few points shorter than Polymarket (74.1% vs 69.5%), a spread of about 4.6 points on the same outcome. The takeaway: both venues agree Badosa is a solid favourite, but Azuro is marginally more confident in her advancing than Polymarket.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-11; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total Games Odd/Even — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 18.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 24.5 — 2 outcomes
- Completed Match — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 20.5 — 2 outcomes
- Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Paula Badosa Set 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -3 — 2 outcomes
- Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Paula Badosa Set 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 3 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 21.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 4 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 23.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 1.5 — 4 outcomes
- 1st Set: Winner — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 13 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 20 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 21 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Handicap Games — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Handicap Games — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Handicap Games — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/20719?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/19705?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/simona-waltert-vs-paula-badosa.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.