---
title: "Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-arrested-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 33119.54
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T15:19:36+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-arrested-by
---

# Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

Live · $33,120 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sinaloa Governor Ruben Rocha Moya is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39% | 51¢ on Polymarket | 51¢ |
| No | 61% | 73¢ on Polymarket | 73¢ |

## Other markets

- May 31 — 2 outcomes
- June 30 — 2 outcomes
- July 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/312212?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-arrested-by.

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