---
title: "Singapore Grand Prix Main Race: Biggest Mover — Singapore Grand Prix (2026)"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/singapore-grand-prix-main-race-biggest-mover-singapore-grand-prix-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-18T12:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 992.56
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Sports"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:44:47+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/singapore-grand-prix-main-race-biggest-mover-singapore-grand-prix-2026
---

# Singapore Grand Prix Main Race: Biggest Mover — Singapore Grand Prix (2026)

Live · $993 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Position Differential:
Differential = official starting grid position − official final classified position.

Starting Grid:
Uses the official FIA starting grid, including any grid penalties applied before the start.
If a driver starts from the pit lane, their starting position is one lower than the last regularly gridded driver, unless the FIA publishes a specific numeric grid position for them.
If the race is red-flagged and restarted, the original starting grid is used.

Final Position:
Uses the official FIA classification, including post-race time penalties and disqualifications published before expiration. Later changes or appeals are not counted.
If a driver retires but FIA still assigns them a classified finishing position, that position is used.

Eligibility:
Only drivers with both an official starting grid position and an official numeric classified finishing position are eligible to resolve Yes and are included in the comparison.
A driver who does not participate, does not start (DNS), or has no numeric classified position (e.g., an unclassified DNF or a DSQ) resolves No and is excluded from the comparison.

Ties / Dead Heats:
If multiple drivers tie for the greatest signed differential, Yes pays $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent) and No pays $1 minus the Yes payout, where N is the number of tied drivers.
Official FIA ties in grid or finishing position keep the tied number for each driver, and the next position skips ahead (e.g., a tie at P2 gives 1, 2, 2, 4).

Stopped, Postponed, or Cancelled Races:
If the race is red-flagged and not resumed within 48 hours, the classification at the time of stoppage is used, provided the leader completed at least 2 racing laps (laps not entirely under Safety Car or VSC). Otherwise, all markets settle to a fair price.
If the race is rescheduled within 48 hours of its original start at the same circuit, the market remains open and resolves based on the rescheduled race.
If the race is moved to a different circuit, rescheduled more than 48 hours later, or cancelled, all markets settle to a fair price. If no official grid or classification is available by expiration, all markets resolve to No.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 27% | 34¢ on Kalshi | 34¢ |
| Oscar Piastri | — | — | — |
| Alexander Albon | — | — | — |
| Nico Hulkenberg | — | — | — |
| Esteban Ocon | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | — | — | — |
| Fernando Alonso | — | — | — |
| Lando Norris | — | — | — |
| Franco Colapinto | — | — | — |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | — | — | — |
| Liam Lawson | — | — | — |
| Lance Stroll | — | — | — |
| Charles Leclerc | — | 45¢ on Kalshi | 45¢ |
| Oliver Bearman | — | — | — |
| Lewis Hamilton | — | 40¢ on Kalshi | 40¢ |
| Pierre Gasly | — | — | — |
| Sergio Perez | — | — | — |
| Valtteri Bottas | — | — | — |
| Arvid Lindblad | — | — | — |
| George Russell | — | — | — |
| Max Verstappen | — | 42¢ on Kalshi | 42¢ |
| Isack Hadjar | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/742520?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/singapore-grand-prix-main-race-biggest-mover-singapore-grand-prix-2026.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.