---
title: "Social Security COLA for 2028"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/social-security-cola-for-2028
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-10-13T12:29:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 8848.5
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:40:05+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/social-security-cola-for-2028
---

# Social Security COLA for 2028

Live · $8,848 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

For purposes of this market, the “2028 Social Security COLA” means the percentage cost-of-living adjustment applied to Social Security benefits payable for December 2027, which are generally paid in January 2028.

The market will be determined using the initial percentage officially announced by the Social Security Administration. Subsequent revisions, corrections, or legislative changes will not be considered.

This market concerns the gross Social Security cost-of-living adjustment and does not concern changes in Medicare premiums or the resulting net amount received by any beneficiary.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.5% | 83% | 84¢ on Kalshi | 84¢ |
| Above 2.0% | — | — | — |
| Above 2.5% | 49% | 51¢ on Kalshi | 51¢ |
| Above 3.0% | 36% | 40¢ on Kalshi | 40¢ |
| Above 3.5% | 26% | 31¢ on Kalshi | 31¢ |
| Above 4.0% | 17% | 22¢ on Kalshi | 22¢ |
| Above 4.5% | 9% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/539750?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/social-security-cola-for-2028.

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