---
title: "S&P 500 move on Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech day? — August 28, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/sp-500-move-on-warshs-jackson-hole-speech-day-august-28-2026
status: ended
trading_closes_at: 2026-08-28T19:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 9721.66
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-10T15:16:50+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/sp-500-move-on-warshs-jackson-hole-speech-day-august-28-2026
---

# S&P 500 move on Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech day? — August 28, 2026

Ended · $9,722 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Result

Delisted by every venue without a result — this event will not resolve.

## About

The absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for August 28, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closing level for the previous trading day. The S&P 500 Index refers to the S&P 500 price-return index, not the S&P 500 Total Return Index, S&P 500 futures, ETFs, or intraday values. The move will be calculated as |August 28, 2026 close - previous trading day close| / previous trading day close × 100.

If the speech is delayed or cancelled, the market will still resolve based on the official S&P 500 closing level for August 28, 2026.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 0.50% | — | — | 21¢ |
| At least 0.75% | — | — | 4¢ |
| At least 1.00% | — | — | 20¢ |
| At least 1.25% | — | — | — |
| At least 1.50% | — | — | — |
| At least 1.75% | — | — | 5¢ |
| At least 2.00% | — | — | 3¢ |
| At least 2.25% | — | — | 3¢ |
| At least 2.50% | — | — | 1¢ |
| At least 2.75% | — | — | 1¢ |
| At least 3.00% | — | — | 1¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/350564?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/sp-500-move-on-warshs-jackson-hole-speech-day-august-28-2026.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.