---
title: "SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/spacex-starship-florida-launch-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 10665.3
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:06:48+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/spacex-starship-florida-launch-by
---

# SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

Live · $10,665 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31, 2026

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 31% | 33¢ on Polymarket | 33¢ |
| No | 69% | 71¢ on Polymarket | 71¢ |

## Other markets

- August 31, 2026 — 2 outcomes
- June 30, 2027 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/7431?via=md)

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Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/spacex-starship-florida-launch-by.

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