---
title: "Spain vs Belgium"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/spain-vs-belgium-kalshi-98d810c5
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-10T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-13T21:46:02+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-10T21:06:50+00:00
total_volume_usd: 254443188.06
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Limitless", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Soccer"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T19:51:36+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/spain-vs-belgium-kalshi-98d810c5
---

# Spain vs Belgium

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-10 00:00 UTC · $254,443,188 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket

## Result

**Spain** won. Settled 2026-07-10.

## About

This event is a FIFA World Cup 2026 quarterfinal between Spain and Belgium at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles, listed across Kalshi, Polymarket, Azuro and Limitless with dozens of side markets on top of the main moneyline.

Spain and Belgium meet in a World Cup quarterfinal Friday at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California, with kickoff set for 3:00 PM ET, and the winner advances to face the winner of France vs. Morocco in the semifinals. The headline market — "Spain advances past Belgium" — has Spain as the favourite at a consensus 74.0% on Kalshi, while Belgium sits at 27.0% to advance. On the tighter 90-minute moneyline, Spain is priced almost identically across venues: 60.2% on Azuro, 60.8% on Limitless, and 60.0% on both Polymarket and Kalshi, with Belgium around 17.3% and the draw near 26.0%. That cross-platform agreement — spreads of under two points on the main lines — signals confident, well-arbitraged pricing.

The favourite tag reflects Spain's tournament form. Five games, five clean sheets, nine goals scored and none conceded — a defensive record no one else has matched. In the round of 16, Luis de la Fuente's side needed a 91st-minute Mikel Merino substitute goal to edge Portugal 1-0 in Dallas. Belgium arrive with momentum but bruises: the loss of Amadou Onana, who suffered a torn ACL against Senegal and is out for the rest of the competition, is a significant blow to the team's midfield engine, though Kevin De Bruyne is set to return to Belgium's starting lineup after being rested entirely for the win over the USA.

That defensive story is echoed in the derivative markets: Under 2.5 goals reads around 75.5% on Polymarket, Both Teams to Score "No" trades heavily favoured, and Mikel Oyarzabal leads goalscorer pricing at 53.0% on Kalshi. Across all four venues, the take

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-10; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium — 2 outcomes
- Regulation Time Total Goals — 6 outcomes
- Regulation Time Spread — 4 outcomes
- Second Half Total — 4 outcomes
- Second Half Spread — 2 outcomes
- First Half Total — 4 outcomes
- First Half Spread — 2 outcomes
- Regulation Time Team Total — 7 outcomes
- Score or Assist — 12 outcomes
- Goalscorer — 24 outcomes
- First Team to Score — 3 outcomes
- To Advance — 2 outcomes
- Second Half Winner — 3 outcomes
- First Half Winner — 3 outcomes
- Spain Starters — 26 outcomes
- Belgium Starters — 26 outcomes
- Halftime Result: Spain — 2 outcomes
- First Team to Score: Spain — 2 outcomes
- Assists — 16 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Second Half Result: Spain (2h) — 2 outcomes
- Team Corners — 6 outcomes
- Total Corners — 5 outcomes
- Alex Baena: 1+ goals — 2 outcomes
- Hans Vanaken: 4+ shots — 2 outcomes
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ shots — 2 outcomes
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ shots — 2 outcomes
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ shots — 2 outcomes
- Lamine Yamal: 4+ shots — 2 outcomes
- Lamine Yamal: 5+ shots — 2 outcomes
- Rodri: 4+ shots — 2 outcomes
- Pedri: 4+ shots — 2 outcomes
- First Goalscorer — 2 outcomes
- 1st Half - Belgium - Total Goals — 1 outcomes
- 1st Half - Total Goal — 1 outcomes
- Total Corners: Spain Corners: O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ goals — 2 outcomes
- Spain First Goalscorer — 11 outcomes
- Belgium First Goalscorer — 11 outcomes
- … and 383 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/18243?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/8397?via=md)
- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/8998?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/8142?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/spain-vs-belgium-kalshi-98d810c5.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.