---
title: "Spanish general election: 2nd place — On Nov 29, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/spanish-general-election-2nd-place-on-nov-29-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-11-29T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 971
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:53:34+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/spanish-general-election-2nd-place-on-nov-29-2026
---

# Spanish general election: 2nd place — On Nov 29, 2026

Live · $971 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order.

The party awarded the 2nd-highest number of Congress of Deputies seats in the Junta Electoral Central's final, certified general scrutiny (escrutinio general) resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO
Rank is NOT determined by national vote share. Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs
Resolution follows the final certified result, not the provisional count published on election night
Only the election to the Congress of Deputies counts. Senate seats do NOT count
Seats won by a party's regional federation or joint list that runs under its name count toward that party (for example, seats won by the Socialists' Party of Catalonia, PSC-PSOE, count toward the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party)
If a party not listed on this event is awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO

In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on seats awarded.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSOE | 86% | 86¢ on Kalshi | 86¢ |
| People's Party | 12% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| Vox | 5% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/734858?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/spanish-general-election-2nd-place-on-nov-29-2026.

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