---
title: "St. Louis vs Toronto"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/st-louis-vs-toronto-kalshi-274e00bb
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-31T23:07:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-08-07T23:07:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-08-01T01:49:38+00:00
total_volume_usd: 7029277
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T19:51:37+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/st-louis-vs-toronto-kalshi-274e00bb
---

# St. Louis vs Toronto

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-31 23:07 UTC · $7,029,277 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Toronto Blue Jays** won. Settled 2026-08-01.

## About

This is a live game in progress on July 31, 2026. The snapshot from MLB.com (result 3) shows STL leading 1-0 after 5 innings, with Dylan Cease pitching for Toronto. The market is very active with the game underway. Let me now write the description.

This MLB matchup at Rogers Centre pits the visiting St. Louis Cardinals (54–55) against the Toronto Blue Jays (50–59) in the series opener of a three-game set scheduled for July 31 at 7:07 PM ET. On Polymarket, the moneyline market resolves to whichever team wins the full game. Kalshi hosts the highest-volume full-game market — asking whether St. Louis wins — alongside a wide array of prop and totals markets covering first-five innings, spreads, player performance for Dylan Cease and Vladimir Guerrero Jr., and run totals at various thresholds.

The Cardinals are the narrow consensus favourite at 52.0% on the full-game moneyline, though the two platforms diverge slightly: Polymarket has St. Louis at 55.0% while Kalshi prices them at 52.0%, a 3.0-point cross-platform spread. Toronto's implied win probability sits at 44.7% on Polymarket versus 49.0% on Kalshi — a 4.3-point gap, the widest spread in this slate. The first-five-innings market on Kalshi puts St. Louis ahead at 72.0%, with Toronto winning the first five at just 17.0%, consistent with the in-game situation: the score stood at STL 1, TOR 0 heading into the bottom of the fifth, with Cease on the mound. The series opener carries added weight as it leads into the trade deadline, with both clubs on the fringes of wild-card contention and a sweep this weekend potentially influencing whether either team decides to sell before Monday's deadline.

Kalshi dominates volume here with over $2.8M across its markets, dwarfing Polymarket's modest moneyline liquidity. The modest Cardinals edge and the live score align, but the Kalshi–Polymarket spread on Toronto's odds is the most notable pricing discrepancy across all platforms.

_AI-written summary written 2026-08-01; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- First 5 Innings Winner: St. Louis Cardinals — 2 outcomes
- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 17 outcomes
- Alec Burleson: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- Outs Recorded — 2 outcomes
- Home Runs — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- First 5 Spread — 4 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Bases — 67 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 18 outcomes
- RBIs — 37 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 87 outcomes
- Hits — 56 outcomes
- JJ Wetherholt: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- JJ Wetherholt: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Masyn Winn: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Masyn Winn: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Iván Herrera: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Iván Herrera: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Blaze Jordan: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Blaze Jordan: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Kyle Leahy: Strikeouts O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Lars Nootbaar: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Lars Nootbaar: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Jesús Sánchez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Jesús Sánchez: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 30 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/135058?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/141978?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/st-louis-vs-toronto-kalshi-274e00bb.

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