---
title: "Sun vs Kalyakina"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/sun-vs-kalyakina
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-10T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-17T08:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-10T10:00:59+00:00
total_volume_usd: 153118.42
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Tennis"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:54:11+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/sun-vs-kalyakina
---

# Sun vs Kalyakina

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-10 00:00 UTC · $153,118 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Maria Kalyakina** won. Settled 2026-07-10.

## About

This market covers a first-round singles match at the ITF W15 Luan tournament in China, pitting Yingqun Sun against Maria Kalyakina. The primary contract resolves to whichever player advances; rules across platforms handle retirements, walkovers and cancellations slightly differently, but the core question is simply who wins on court. Kalshi carried the bulk of activity at roughly $151k in volume, with Polymarket providing deeper resting liquidity and Azuro offering an extensive side menu of handicap, totals and odd/even derivatives.

Kalyakina is the overwhelming favourite. Consensus pricing puts her at 99.0%, with Polymarket at 100.0%, Kalshi at 99.0% and Azuro noticeably softer at 70.9%. Sun is priced as a near-dead outcome on the two larger venues: 1.0% on Kalshi and 0.1% on Polymarket, while Azuro implies 36.1%. That leaves a cross-platform spread of about 0.95 points on the favourite line between Polymarket and Kalshi, but a far wider gap when Azuro's less liquid market is included.

The takeaway: Polymarket and Kalshi agree that Kalyakina is an essentially settled winner, while Azuro's thinly traded book is the clear outlier on both sides of the matchup.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-12; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Handicap 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 19 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 20 — 2 outcomes
- Completed Match — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 21 — 2 outcomes
- ITF Luan: Yingqun Sun vs Maria Kalyakina Set 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 20.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 19.5 — 2 outcomes
- ITF Luan: Yingqun Sun vs Maria Kalyakina Set 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 4 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 21.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 3 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 6 outcomes
- Handicap 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 23.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Games Odd/Even — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Winner — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/17183?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/17231?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/18525?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/sun-vs-kalyakina.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.