---
title: "Sweden Parliamentary Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/sweden-parliamentary-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-09-19T21:03:44+00:00
total_volume_usd: 21492.58
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-05T02:32:50+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/sweden-parliamentary-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory
---

# Sweden Parliamentary Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory

Settled · $21,493 traded · listed on Polymarket

## Result

**S 7-10%** won. Settled 2026-09-19.

## About

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes received in this election.

The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the party that wins the most valid votes and the party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the party in question.

If the Social Democratic Party (S) ties with one or more parties for the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for S.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”.

This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/477635?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/sweden-parliamentary-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory).

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