---
title: "Taiwan Legislative Yuan by-elections winner? — in 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/taiwan-legislative-yuan-by-elections-winner-in-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-03-24T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 37.9
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:25:32+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/taiwan-legislative-yuan-by-elections-winner-in-2027
---

# Taiwan Legislative Yuan by-elections winner? — in 2027

Live · $38 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

For legislative elections, the winner is the party winning the most seats across the by-elections in scope.
In scope: every Legislative Yuan by-election held in 2027 to fill a regional or indigenous seat vacated by a legislator who won office in Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections. By-elections for any other vacancy are not in scope, and at-large seats are refilled from party lists, not by by-election.
Seats are counted from the candidates declared elected by the Central Election Commission, for the party each is registered under with the Commission. Independents, including party-backed independents, count for no party.
If two parties tie in seats, the one with the higher combined share of the votes cast in the by-elections in scope will resolve to YES and all others to NO
If no by-election in scope is held in 2027, all markets resolve to NO

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Progressive Party | — | — | — |
| Kuomintang | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/860810?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/taiwan-legislative-yuan-by-elections-winner-in-2027).

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