---
title: "Tampa Bay vs Cleveland"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/tampa-bay-vs-cleveland-kalshi-0a63297c
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-10-18T21:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-25T21:08:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-19T00:00:21+00:00
total_volume_usd: 18594360.19
venues: ["Azuro", "Gemini", "Kalshi", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-04T20:04:34+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/tampa-bay-vs-cleveland-kalshi-0a63297c
---

# Tampa Bay vs Cleveland

Settled · kickoff 2026-10-18 21:00 UTC · $18,594,360 traded · listed on Azuro, Gemini, Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## Result

**Tampa Bay Rays** won. Settled 2026-10-19.

## About

Tampa Bay vs Cleveland is Game 5 of the 2026 American League Championship Series between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Cleveland Guardians. It was originally scheduled for October 17 and rescheduled to October 18 at 5:00 PM ET. The two main outcomes are simple: "Tampa Bay Rays" resolves yes if the Rays win the game, and "Cleveland Guardians" resolves yes if the Guardians win. Polymarket's rules resolve the market 50-50 if the game is cancelled with no make-up or ends in a tie. Kalshi's rules call for a fair-price resolution if the game is cancelled or pushed more than two days out. Total volume across listings stands at about $4.9 million, led by Kalshi at roughly $2.3 million.

The Rays are slight favourites at a consensus 53.5%, against 46.5% for Cleveland. That 7-point gap points to a near coin-flip with a modest lean toward Tampa Bay. Pricing is tightly aligned. Gemini, Polymarket and Kalshi all sit at 53.5% for the Rays and 46.5% for the Guardians. Polymarket US is marginally different at 53.8% and 46.3%. The cross-platform spread is just 0.25 points on each outcome. Azuro was excluded from the consensus because it has no liquidity.

Across platforms the market agrees almost exactly, giving Tampa Bay a narrow edge with no meaningful pricing discrepancies.

_AI-written summary written 2026-10-18; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Extra innings? — 2 outcomes
- First Inning Run — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 8 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Moneyline — 3 outcomes
- Total O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 4 outcomes
- Yandy Díaz: 1+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 1 outcomes
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays −1.5 (F5) — 1 outcomes
- Yandy Díaz: 1+ Hits — 1 outcomes
- José Ramírez: 1+ Stolen Bases — 1 outcomes
- Jonathan Aranda: 1+ Rbis — 1 outcomes
- Junior Caminero: 1+ Home Runs — 1 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- Victor Mesa Jr.: 1+ Rbis — 1 outcomes
- Chase DeLauter: 1+ Rbis — 1 outcomes
- Jonny DeLuca: 1+ Rbis — 1 outcomes
- Nathaniel Lowe: 1+ Rbis — 1 outcomes
- Travis Bazzana: 1+ Rbis — 1 outcomes
- Patrick Bailey: 1+ Rbis — 1 outcomes
- Petey Halpin: 1+ Rbis — 1 outcomes
- Taylor Walls: 1+ Rbis — 1 outcomes
- Victor Mesa Jr.: 2+ Rbis — 1 outcomes
- Chase DeLauter: 2+ Rbis — 1 outcomes
- Jonny DeLuca: 2+ Rbis — 1 outcomes
- Nathaniel Lowe: 2+ Rbis — 1 outcomes
- Patrick Bailey: 2+ Rbis — 1 outcomes
- Travis Bazzana: 2+ Rbis — 1 outcomes
- Taylor Walls: 2+ Rbis — 1 outcomes
- Petey Halpin: 2+ Rbis — 1 outcomes
- Steven Kwan: 1+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 1 outcomes
- Chase DeLauter: 1+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 1 outcomes
- Jonny DeLuca: 1+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 1 outcomes
- Nathaniel Lowe: 1+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 1 outcomes
- … and 298 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/894901?via=md)
- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/840191?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/835356?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/800911?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/835704?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/tampa-bay-vs-cleveland-kalshi-0a63297c).

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