---
title: "Tampa Bay vs Cleveland"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/tampa-bay-vs-cleveland-kalshi-1f824f33
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-10-18T00:00:01+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-25T00:08:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-18T03:20:22+00:00
total_volume_usd: 33065295.63
venues: ["Azuro", "Gemini", "Kalshi", "Novig", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-05T15:59:52+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/tampa-bay-vs-cleveland-kalshi-1f824f33
---

# Tampa Bay vs Cleveland

Settled · kickoff 2026-10-18 00:00 UTC · $33,065,296 traded · listed on Azuro, Gemini, Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## Result

**Tampa Bay Rays** won. Settled 2026-10-18.

## About

This is Game 4 of the 2026 AL Championship Series between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 16 at 6:00 PM ET. The moneyline market has two outcomes: "Tampa Bay Rays" pays out if the Rays win, and "Cleveland Guardians" pays out if the Guardians win. Polymarket's rules resolve the market 50-50 if the game is cancelled with no make-up or ends in a tie. Kalshi's rules say it resolves to a fair price if the game is cancelled or rescheduled more than two days out. Total volume across listings is about $2.0 million, led by Kalshi ($950,477) and Novig ($587,989).

Pricing is close to a coin flip. Tampa Bay is the narrow favourite at a 50.5% consensus, against 49.5% for Cleveland. Kalshi, Polymarket and Gemini all show the Rays at 50.5%. Novig is slightly higher at 50.8%, and Polymarket US is slightly lower at 50.2%. A one-point edge means the market sees no meaningful separation between the two teams. Azuro is excluded from the consensus because it has no liquidity, and Polymarket US and Gemini report little or no volume or liquidity.

The cross-platform spread is just 0.5 points on each outcome. Every venue with an active market is pricing Game 4 as essentially even, with Tampa Bay holding only a marginal edge.

_AI-written summary written 2026-10-16; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Extra innings? — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians −3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians −4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays −3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays −4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays −1.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians −1.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Cleveland Guardians wins first 5 innings — 2 outcomes
- Tie in first 5 innings — 2 outcomes
- Tampa Bay Rays wins first 5 innings — 2 outcomes
- Cleveland Guardians wins 1st inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 1st inning — 2 outcomes
- Tampa Bay Rays wins 1st inning — 2 outcomes
- Cleveland Guardians wins 2nd inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 2nd inning — 2 outcomes
- Tampa Bay Rays wins 2nd inning — 2 outcomes
- Cleveland Guardians wins 3rd inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 3rd inning — 2 outcomes
- Tampa Bay Rays wins 3rd inning — 2 outcomes
- Cleveland Guardians wins 4th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 4th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tampa Bay Rays wins 4th inning — 2 outcomes
- Cleveland Guardians wins 5th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 5th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tampa Bay Rays wins 5th inning — 2 outcomes
- Cleveland Guardians wins 6th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 6th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tampa Bay Rays wins 6th inning — 2 outcomes
- Cleveland Guardians wins 7th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 7th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tampa Bay Rays wins 7th inning — 2 outcomes
- Cleveland Guardians wins 8th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 8th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tampa Bay Rays wins 8th inning — 2 outcomes
- Cleveland Guardians wins 9th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 9th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tampa Bay Rays wins 9th inning — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- … and 407 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/868100?via=md)
- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/801918?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/797818?via=md)
- [Novig](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/857888?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/800912?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/822460?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/tampa-bay-vs-cleveland-kalshi-1f824f33).

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.