---
title: "Tampa Bay vs Colorado"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/tampa-bay-vs-colorado
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-08-04T00:40:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-08-11T00:40:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-08-04T03:24:30+00:00
total_volume_usd: 7024249.14
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:23:49+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/tampa-bay-vs-colorado
---

# Tampa Bay vs Colorado

Settled · kickoff 2026-08-04 00:40 UTC · $7,024,249 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Tampa Bay Rays** won. Settled 2026-08-04.

## About

This MLB interleague matchup sends the Tampa Bay Rays (-175) to Coors Field to face the Colorado Rockies (+145) in what shapes up as a clear pitching mismatch at one of baseball's most run-friendly venues. The probable starter matchup is Ian Seymour, a left-hander, against Michael Lorenzen, a right-hander. Seymour owns a 7-3 record and a sub-5.00 ERA, while Lorenzen is 3-9 with an ERA above 6.50 and has struggled to limit baserunners throughout the 2026 season. The Rays enter as firm favourites despite being visitors: Tampa Bay leads the AL East at 65-46, though the Rockies will take hope from the fact that the Rays are just 24-28 on the road. Colorado is coming off a sweep of the Kansas City Royals at home — their first sweep of the second half.

On the prediction markets, Kalshi and Polymarket align closely, both pricing the Tampa Bay Rays at 63.0% to win the game outright — a roughly 26-point edge over the Rockies, who sit at 37.0%–38.0% across the two platforms. The only notable cross-platform spread is a 1.0-point gap on the Colorado Rockies outcome (Polymarket 37.0%, Kalshi 38.0%), which is negligible. The total-runs markets lean heavily toward a high-scoring game: Kalshi prices over 8.5 total runs at 73.0% and over 10.5 at 58.0%, consistent with Coors Field's notorious run-inflation effect. Sitting roughly a mile above sea level, Coors Field is widely regarded as the most hitter-friendly stadium in Major League Baseball because the thin air helps the ball carry. On the strikeout side, Kalshi has Seymour at 88.0% to record 3 or more Ks and 58.0% to reach 5 or more, reflecting confidence in his ability to miss bats even if runs flow freely.

Both platforms agree that Tampa Bay is the comfortable favourite, and the tight cross-platform spread signals a settled, liquid market with no exploitable pricing discrepancy between Kalshi and Polymarket.

_AI-written summary written 2026-08-04; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Total Bases — 11 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 13 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 10 outcomes
- Home Runs — 4 outcomes
- Hits — 8 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- RBIs — 38 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 17 outcomes
- Outs Recorded — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Spread — 4 outcomes
- Spread -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 13.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 15.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 14.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 16.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 17.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 18.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 20.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 4 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/149056?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/121108?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/tampa-bay-vs-colorado.

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