---
title: "Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/taylor-fritz-vs-rafael-jodar-polymarket-95a2943a
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-08-02T18:30:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-08-09T18:30:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-08-03T20:08:14+00:00
total_volume_usd: 2940787.19
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Limitless", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Tennis"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-17T06:25:57+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/taylor-fritz-vs-rafael-jodar-polymarket-95a2943a
---

# Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar

Settled · kickoff 2026-08-02 18:30 UTC · $2,940,787 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket

## Result

**Taylor Fritz** won. Settled 2026-08-03.

## About

This is the 2026 ATP Washington (Mubadala DC Open) final between Taylor Fritz and Rafael Jodar. The final was postponed to Monday, not before 1 p.m., due to rain. Markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Azuro, and Limitless cover the match winner, set winners, game spreads, and total games.

On the match-winner market, Fritz is the consensus favourite at 63.0% on Polymarket, closely mirrored by Azuro at 64.1% and Kalshi at 63.0% — a remarkably tight cross-platform alignment. Jodar is priced between 37.0% and 44.0% across the same platforms. Kalshi's set-1 winner market similarly favours Fritz at 59.0%, while the game spread (Fritz -4.5) sits at 38.0%, indicating the market does not expect a dominant straight-set blowout. The total games market is notable: Kalshi prices over 18.5 games at a commanding 95.0%, signalling near-certainty of a competitive, extended match.

The matchup pits an experienced top-10 veteran against a breakout teenage talent. A year ago, Rafael Jodar was ranked 478th in the world; now in the final in Washington, he is guaranteed to enter the top 15. Fritz continues to be a mainstay in the top 10 but is still searching for his first title of 2026 — this is his fourth final of the season after runner-up finishes in Dallas, Stuttgart, and Halle. Their only previous meeting, in February in Delray Beach, ended in a tight win for Fritz (7-6, 6-4) with 15 aces. However, since then, Jodar has made huge strides with breakthrough performances in Barcelona, Madrid, and more — he is a different, more confident player than he was in February.

Fritz is the clear favourite across all platforms, but the narrow 63.0% edge and the near-unanimous expectation of a long match reflect how seriously markets are taking Jodar's remarkable rise.

_AI-written summary written 2026-08-03; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Set 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Total Games — 3 outcomes
- Game Spread — 3 outcomes
- Set 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -3 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 24.5 — 2 outcomes
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar Set 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 21.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Completed Match — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 13 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -2 — 2 outcomes
- Total Games Odd/Even — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -1 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Handicap Games — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 23.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Winner — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games Odd/Even — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 1.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 13.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -1.5 — 3 outcomes
- Handicap -0.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 23 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 24 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/159694?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/157705?via=md)
- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/157730?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/158019?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/taylor-fritz-vs-rafael-jodar-polymarket-95a2943a.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.