---
title: "Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1318534.11
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:53:00+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by
---

# Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

Live · $1,318,534 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## January 31, 2027

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 16% | 17¢ on Polymarket | 17¢ |
| No | 84% | 85¢ on Polymarket | 85¢ |

## Other markets

- February 28, 2027 — 2 outcomes
- June 30, 2027 — 2 outcomes
- December 31, 2027 — 2 outcomes
- June 30 — 2 outcomes
- September 30 — 2 outcomes
- December 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5102?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by.

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