---
title: "Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/tesla-optimus-on-sale-before-2027
status: live
kickoff_at: 2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-31T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 398395.85
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T16:23:05+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/tesla-optimus-on-sale-before-2027
---

# Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?

Live · kickoff 2026-12-31 00:00 UTC · $398,396 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the Tesla Optimus (or another humanoid robot) is on sale to the general public before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 95% | 96¢ on Kalshi | 96¢ |
| Yes | 5% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2422?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/tesla-optimus-on-sale-before-2027.

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