---
title: "Texas: Abbott's margin vs. Paxton's margin? — On Nov 3, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/texas-abbotts-margin-vs-paxtons-margin-on-nov-3-2026
status: live
kickoff_at: 2027-01-29T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-29T14:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 19468.35
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T05:29:35+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/texas-abbotts-margin-vs-paxtons-margin-on-nov-3-2026
---

# Texas: Abbott's margin vs. Paxton's margin? — On Nov 3, 2026

Live · kickoff 2027-01-29 00:00 UTC · $19,468 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abbott by 0-3 | — | 49¢ on Kalshi | 49¢ |
| Paxton by 0-3 | — | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |
| Abbott by 3-6 | 96% | 96¢ on Kalshi | 96¢ |
| Paxton by 3+ | — | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Abbott by 6-9 | — | 49¢ on Kalshi | 49¢ |
| Abbott by 9-12 | — | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| Abbott by 12+ | — | 49¢ on Kalshi | 49¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/844212?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/texas-abbotts-margin-vs-paxtons-margin-on-nov-3-2026).

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