---
title: "Texas crude oil production in 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/texas-crude-oil-production-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-03-31T13:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 178250.66
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:23:49+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/texas-crude-oil-production-in-2026
---

# Texas crude oil production in 2026

Live · $178,251 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Resolution will use EIA’s Texas Field Production of Crude Oil statistic. Production is measured in thousand barrels per day and will be converted to million barrels per day by dividing by 1,000. EIA notes that its Texas estimates may differ from Railroad Commission of Texas figures, so only EIA data will be used.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 5.6 million barrels/day | 99% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Above 5.7 million barrels/day | 98% | 98¢ on Kalshi | 98¢ |
| Above 5.8 million barrels/day | 35% | 35¢ on Kalshi | 35¢ |
| Above 5.9 million barrels/day | 4% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/459723?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/texas-crude-oil-production-in-2026.

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