---
title: "Texas Senate: Exact outcome — Before Jan 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/texas-senate-exact-outcome-before-jan-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-03T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 367183.16
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:16:09+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/texas-senate-exact-outcome-before-jan-2027
---

# Texas Senate: Exact outcome — Before Jan 2027

Live · $367,183 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: GOP Nominee (SENATEPARTYNOM), General Election Winner (SENATEPARTY). All conditions must be satisfied before Jan 2027.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Talarico defeats Paxton | 64% | 64¢ on Kalshi | 64¢ |
| Paxton defeats Talarico | 39% | 40¢ on Kalshi | 40¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292879?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/texas-senate-exact-outcome-before-jan-2027.

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