---
title: "Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win? — In 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/texas-senate-which-counties-will-james-talarico-win-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-11-03T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 21664.68
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:44:47+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/texas-senate-which-counties-will-james-talarico-win-in-2026
---

# Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win? — In 2026

Live · $21,665 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Bend | 84% | 88¢ on Kalshi | 88¢ |
| Tarrant | 83% | 84¢ on Kalshi | 84¢ |
| Collin | 78% | 79¢ on Kalshi | 79¢ |
| Denton | 62% | 63¢ on Kalshi | 63¢ |
| Bastrop | 38% | 39¢ on Kalshi | 39¢ |
| Bell | 33% | 37¢ on Kalshi | 37¢ |
| Brazoria | 28% | 32¢ on Kalshi | 32¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/548823?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/texas-senate-which-counties-will-james-talarico-win-in-2026.

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