---
title: "ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/thundertalk-gaming-vs-bilibili-gaming
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-23T11:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-23T19:19:38+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-23T19:19:38+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4103554.34
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Esports"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T14:31:45+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/thundertalk-gaming-vs-bilibili-gaming
---

# ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-23 11:00 UTC · $4,103,554 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Bilibili Gaming** won. Settled 2026-07-23.

## About

This event covers the LPL 2026 League of Legends match between Bilibili Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming, originally scheduled for July 23, 2026. Markets resolve on the match winner, with additional sub-markets on individual maps, handicaps, and total-kills over/under lines. A "Yes" on ThunderTalk means TT wins the relevant map or match; a "Yes" on Bilibili means BLG does.

Bilibili Gaming is the overwhelming favourite. On Kalshi's full-match market, BLG sits at 99.0% while ThunderTalk is priced at 1.0%. Kalshi's Map 1 market is only slightly less lopsided, with ThunderTalk at 9.0% implied. Polymarket's match-winner pricing agrees, showing Bilibili at 99.9% and ThunderTalk at 0.0%. The roughly 98-point gap between the two sides signals that the market treats this as a near-certain BLG victory rather than a competitive matchup.

The most notable cross-platform spread appears on Azuro, where Bilibili's moneyline sits at 94.3% versus Kalshi's 99.0% — a 4.7-point gap on the same outcome, likely reflecting thinner Azuro liquidity. Azuro's derivative markets also price handicaps and totals in the 30–80% range, offering more granular views on the margin of victory. Across every venue listing this match, Bilibili Gaming is the consensus favourite by a wide margin.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-24; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- LPL Group Ascend: Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? — 2 outcomes
- LPL Group Ascend: First Blood in Game 1? — 2 outcomes
- LPL Group Ascend: First Blood in Game 2? — 2 outcomes
- LPL Group Ascend: Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? — 2 outcomes
- LPL Group Ascend: Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? — 2 outcomes
- LPL Group Ascend: Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? — 2 outcomes
- Map 2 — 2 outcomes
- Map 1 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -6.5 — 2 outcomes
- LPL Group Ascend: Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? — 2 outcomes
- LPL Group Ascend: Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? — 2 outcomes
- LPL Group Ascend: Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1? — 2 outcomes
- LPL Group Ascend: Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? — 2 outcomes
- LPL Group Ascend: Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2? — 2 outcomes
- LPL Group Ascend: Game 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- LPL Group Ascend: Game 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 30.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 4 outcomes
- Map 2 - Winner — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 4 outcomes
- Map 1 - Total Odd/Even Kill — 2 outcomes
- LPL Group Ascend: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor — 2 outcomes
- LPL Group Ascend: Both Teams Slay a Dragon — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 29.5 — 2 outcomes
- LPL Group Ascend: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- LPL Group Ascend: Any Player Quadra Kill — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 14.5 — 2 outcomes
- LPL Group Ascend: Any Player Penta Kill — 2 outcomes
- Map 2 - Total Odd/Even Kill — 2 outcomes
- LPL Group Ascend: Odd/Even Total Kills — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 31.5 — 2 outcomes
- LPL Group Ascend: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -9.5 — 2 outcomes
- LPL Group Ascend: Both Teams Slay a Dragon — 2 outcomes
- Map 1 - Winner — 2 outcomes
- LPL Group Ascend: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 28.5 — 2 outcomes
- LPL Group Ascend: Any Player Quadra Kill — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 34.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 24 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/82812?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/62653?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/36798?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/thundertalk-gaming-vs-bilibili-gaming.

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