--- title: "Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — In 2026" canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/times-person-of-the-year-for-2026-in-2026 status: live trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00 total_volume_usd: 1743267.73 venues: ["Kalshi"] categories: ["Entertainment"] prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T14:07:54+00:00 publisher: BetCrypto data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/times-person-of-the-year-for-2026-in-2026 --- # Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — In 2026 Live · $1,743,268 traded · listed on Kalshi ## About This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion. If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion. The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning). Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”. Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005. If Time uses language that does not specifically refer to a person or organization (examples being 2018’s “The Guardians of Truth” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), Kalshi will resolve markets to the most simple meaning reasonable. In those cases, “Journalists” and “the Me Too movement” would resolve to Yes. This does NOT count towards the payout criterion: If there is no Person of the Year (and instead many variations thereof, e.g. Entertainer of the Year, Hero of the Year), that is not encompassed in the Payout Criterion. If “ChatGPT” was the Person of the Year, strikes of “AI” or “LLMs” would resolve to No, since even if they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous (and thus are not explicitly named), and are not persons, so it would not matter if they were identified in the image. Or if “Sam Altman” was the Person of the Year, and the cover showed a person using ChatGPT on their computer, “ChatGPT” would not resolve to Yes because it is not a person. This market and these products have not been endorsed by TIME. Any references to TIME, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between TIME and Kalshi. _From Kalshi's listing._ ## Main market | Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi | |---|---|---|---| | Zohran Mamdani | 28% | 29¢ on Kalshi | 29¢ | | Mark Carney | 18% | 19¢ on Kalshi | 19¢ | | Pope Leo XIV | 10% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ | | Dario Amodei | 9% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ | | AI | 8% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ | | Donald Trump | 7% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ | | Benjamin Netanyahu | 7% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ | | Elon Musk | 6% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ | | James Talarico | 6% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ | | Sam Altman | 6% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ | | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 6% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ | | Christina Koch | 5% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ | | Reid Wiseman | 5% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ | | Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf | 5% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | | Mojtaba Khamenei | 4% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | | Victor Glover | 4% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | | Jeremy Hansen | 4% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | | Bad Bunny | 4% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | | ChatGPT | 4% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | | Shehbaz Sharif | 4% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | | Lionel Messi | 3% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | | Taylor Swift | 3% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | | Péter Magyar | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ | | Marco Rubio | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ | | Xi Jinping | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ | | Alysa Liu | 3% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | | Abdul El-Sayed | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ | | James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson / MrBeast | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ | | Jerome Powell | 2% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ | | Bernie Sanders | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ | | Hakeem Jeffries | — | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ | | Jon Ossoff | — | — | — | | JD Vance | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | | Erika Kirk | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | | Steve Witkoff | — | — | — | | Jared Kushner | — | — | — | | Susie Wiles | — | — | — | | Kevin Warsh | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | | Christopher Nolan | — | — | — | | Andy Burnham | — | — | — | | Pete Hegseth | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | | Chris Wright | — | — | — | ## Open on a venue - [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/293304?via=md) --- Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/times-person-of-the-year-for-2026-in-2026. BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.